Mets at Giants
Last play · Patrick Bailey lines out sharply to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYM 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 1 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Giants favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Juan Soto scores. Starling Marte scores. (inning 6) — -31% Mets
6Mark Vientos doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Juan Soto scores. Starling Marte scores.2–1
4Jung Hoo Lee grounds into a force out, second baseman Brett Baty to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Willy Adames scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd. Casey Schmitt out at 2nd. Jung Hoo Lee to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








