D-backs at Pirates
Last play · James McCann strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
AZ 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 0 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Pirates favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Nick Gonzales scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd. (inning 3) — +12% Pirates
8Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Nick Gonzales scores. Tommy Pham scores.0–6
6Oneil Cruz doubles (15) on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.0–4
3Oneil Cruz singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Bryan Reynolds scores.0–3
3Bryan Reynolds doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Nick Gonzales scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.0–2
2Tommy Pham singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Oneil Cruz scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








