Dodgers at Red Sox
Last play · Tommy Edman grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Abraham Toro.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
LAD 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 3 – 4 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Red Sox favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Bregman homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Roman Anthony scores. (inning 5) — +30% Red Sox
5Alex Bregman homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Roman Anthony scores.3–4
5Roman Anthony triples (1) on a fly ball to shortstop Mookie Betts. Abraham Toro scores.3–2
4Mookie Betts singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Miguel Rojas scores.3–1
4Michael Conforto homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
3Freddie Freeman walks. Miguel Rojas scores. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd. Teoscar Hernández to 2nd.1–1
1Trevor Story out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Andy Pages. Roman Anthony scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








