Rays at Reds
Last play · Junior Caminero flies out to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
Win probability
Reds100%
TB 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 2 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Reds favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt McLain flies out to center fielder Chandler Simpson. (inning 8) — +12% Reds
8Taylor Walls homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
1Gavin Lux grounds out, first baseman Jonathan Aranda to second baseman Tristan Gray. Matt McLain scores. Austin Hays to 3rd.0–2
1Austin Hays singles on a soft ground ball to second baseman Tristan Gray, deflected by shortstop Taylor Walls. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








