Nationals at Twins
Last play · Brooks Lee grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Twins0%
WSH 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 7 – 2 MIN
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Twins favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Call singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Luis García Jr. scores. Josh Bell scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd. (inning 5) — -17% Nationals
5Daylen Lile out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. Nathaniel Lowe scores.7–2
5Alex Call singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Luis García Jr. scores. Josh Bell scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd.6–2
5Josh Bell singles on a line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood to 3rd. Luis García Jr. to 2nd.4–2
4Paul DeJong out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. Daylen Lile scores.3–2
3Trevor Larnach out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Wood. Harrison Bader scores.2–2
3Luis García Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Willi Castro. CJ Abrams scores.2–1
2Matt Wallner homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1CJ Abrams homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








