Guardians at Royals
Last play · Bo Naylor lines out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
Win probability
Royals100%
CLE 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 4 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia grounds out, third baseman José Ramírez to first baseman Carlos Santana. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. (inning 1) — +9% Royals
7Gabriel Arias homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
5Maikel Garcia homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
4Luke Maile doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. John Rave scores.0–3
1Maikel Garcia grounds out, third baseman José Ramírez to first baseman Carlos Santana. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–2
1Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, first baseman Carlos Santana to pitcher Joey Cantillo. Jonathan India scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








