Mets at Giants
Last play · Matt Chapman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYM 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 3 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Giants favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Willy Adames scores. (inning 5) — +30% Giants
9Brandon Nimmo doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Luisangel Acuña scores.5–3
7Juan Soto homers (25) on a fly ball to left field.4–3
7Ronny Mauricio homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.3–3
5Matt Chapman homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Willy Adames scores.2–3
5Ronny Mauricio doubles (5) on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Francisco Alvarez scores.2–1
4Matt Chapman homers (15) on a line drive to left center field.1–1
3Francisco Lindor grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Dominic Smith. Francisco Alvarez scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








