Rays at Yankees
Last play · Austin Wells lines out sharply to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
Win probability
Yankees0%
TB 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 2 NYY
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Junior Caminero homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonathan Aranda scores. (inning 1) — -22% Rays
8Yandy Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. José Caballero scores.4–2
5Josh Lowe singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Yandy Díaz scores. Jonathan Aranda to 3rd.3–2
1Ryan McMahon walks. Cody Bellinger scores. Giancarlo Stanton to 3rd. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 2nd.2–2
1Jazz Chisholm Jr. walks. Jasson Domínguez scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Giancarlo Stanton to 2nd.2–1
1Junior Caminero homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonathan Aranda scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








