Nationals at Astros
Last play · Jacob Melton strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
WSH 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 1 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Astros favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Adams homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 7) — -19% Nationals
7Riley Adams homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
6Nathaniel Lowe doubles (16) on a ground ball to right fielder Taylor Trammell. Josh Bell scores.1–1
5Mauricio Dubón doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Yainer Diaz scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








