Blue Jays at Orioles
Last play · Bo Bichette grounds into a double play, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Coby Mayo. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out at 2nd. Bo Bichette out at 1st.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TOR 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 4 – 10 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. George Springer scores. (inning 3) — -23% Blue Jays
7Colton Cowser homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.4–11
5Coby Mayo grounds out, pitcher Tommy Nance to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Colton Cowser scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd.4–10
5Ramón Laureano homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores.4–9
5Ryan O'Hearn doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Addison Barger. Adley Rutschman scores.4–7
4Will Wagner lines out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Coby Mayo. Ernie Clement scores.4–6
3Ramón Laureano singles on a ground ball to center fielder Nathan Lukes. Adley Rutschman scores.3–6
3Adley Rutschman doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Nathan Lukes. Jordan Westburg scores. Gunnar Henderson scores.3–5
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. George Springer scores.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








