Blue Jays at Orioles
Last play · Bo Bichette strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TOR 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 2 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adley Rutschman doubles (12) on a fly ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Gunnar Henderson scores. (inning 8) — +29% Orioles
8Adley Rutschman doubles (12) on a fly ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Gunnar Henderson scores.2–3
4Ramón Urías grounds out, second baseman Davis Schneider to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Ryan O'Hearn scores.2–2
4Ryan O'Hearn triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Myles Straw. Ramón Laureano scores.2–1
4Myles Straw grounds into a force out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Ernie Clement scores. Tyler Heineman out at 2nd. Myles Straw to 1st.2–0
2Nathan Lukes grounds out softly, third baseman Ramón Urías to first baseman Coby Mayo. Ernie Clement scores. Tyler Heineman to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








