Red Sox at Twins
Last play · Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Mickey Gasper scores. Willi Castro scores. Carlos Correa to 2nd.
Win probability
Twins100%
BOS 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 2 MIN
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Twins favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Mickey Gasper scores. Willi Castro scores. Carlos Correa to 2nd. (inning 9) — +55% Twins
9Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Mickey Gasper scores. Willi Castro scores. Carlos Correa to 2nd.4–5
9Roman Anthony singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. David Hamilton scores.4–3
6Christian Vázquez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jarren Duran. Royce Lewis scores.3–3
5Alex Bregman homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Abraham Toro scores. Roman Anthony scores.3–2
3DaShawn Keirsey Jr. homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Christian Vázquez scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








