Marlins at Cardinals
Last play · Liam Hicks called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
MIA 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 2 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Cardinals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Burleson homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 3) — +11% Cardinals
9Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Jesús Sánchez scores.1–7
7Jordan Walker doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Dane Myers. Masyn Winn scores.0–7
7Masyn Winn doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Brendan Donovan scores. Garrett Hampson scores. Alec Burleson scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd. Masyn Winn advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by left fielder Heriberto Hernández.0–6
7Alec Burleson reaches on catcher interference by Agustín Ramírez. Victor Scott II scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd. Garrett Hampson to 2nd. Alec Burleson to 1st.0–3
4Thomas Saggese walks.0–2
3Alec Burleson homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








