Cubs at Brewers
Last play · Jon Berti grounds out, shortstop Joey Ortiz to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CHC 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 5 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Brewers favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dansby Swanson grounds into a force out, third baseman Anthony Seigler to second baseman Brice Turang. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Nico Hoerner out at 2nd. Dansby Swanson to 1st. (inning 2) — -15% Cubs
7Pete Crow-Armstrong out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Sal Frelick. Kyle Tucker scores.3–9
6Andrew Vaughn hits a grand slam (10) to left center field. Blake Perkins scores. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich scores.2–9
6Nico Hoerner homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.2–5
5Caleb Durbin out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Christian Yelich scores. Andrew Vaughn to 3rd.1–5
5Andrew Vaughn singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich to 3rd.1–4
5William Contreras doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Blake Perkins scores.1–3
3Andrew Vaughn out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras to 3rd.1–2
2Anthony Seigler out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Andrew Vaughn scores. Isaac Collins to 3rd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








