Braves at Royals
Last play · Luke Williams lines out to third baseman Maikel Garcia.
Win probability
Royals100%
ATL 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 4 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Royals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Michael Harris II scores. (inning 6) — -22% Braves
8Eli White singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.6–9
8Matt Olson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Ozzie Albies scores. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.5–9
7Marcell Ozuna singles on a line drive to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Eli White scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd.4–9
6Vinnie Pasquantino hits a ground-rule double (17) on a fly ball to right-center field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.3–9
6Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Kyle Isbel scores.3–8
6Kyle Isbel doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Adam Frazier scores. Freddy Fermin scores. Randal Grichuk scores.3–7
6Marcell Ozuna homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Michael Harris II scores.3–4
6Austin Riley homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








