Red Sox at Twins
Last play · Mickey Gasper strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
BOS 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 1 MIN
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Twins favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. Alex Bregman scores. (inning 3) — -14% Red Sox
9Brooks Lee homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Ryan Jeffers scores.8–5
9Wilyer Abreu doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Trevor Story scores.8–3
9Trevor Story doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Alex Bregman scores.7–3
7Brooks Lee homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan Jeffers scores.6–3
6Ceddanne Rafaela out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. Carlos Narváez scores.6–1
5Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Harrison Bader scores. Christian Vázquez to 3rd. Brooks Lee to 2nd. Brooks Lee advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.5–1
5Jarren Duran homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.5–0
3Trevor Story homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. Alex Bregman scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








