Nationals at Astros
Last play · Luis García Jr. strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Astros100%
WSH 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 3 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Astros favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis García Jr. homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. CJ Abrams scores. (inning 3) — -24% Nationals
8Daylen Lile doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Chas McCormick. Josh Bell scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd.4–7
7Taylor Trammell grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Yainer Diaz scores. Shay Whitcomb to 3rd. Zack Short to 2nd.3–7
7James Wood singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Daylen Lile scores. CJ Abrams to 3rd.3–6
6Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Shay Whitcomb scores. Taylor Trammell scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.2–6
6Jose Altuve singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Mauricio Dubón scores. Shay Whitcomb to 3rd. Taylor Trammell to 2nd.2–4
5Cooper Hummel singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Christian Walker scores. Cam Smith to 3rd.2–3
4Yainer Diaz homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
3Luis García Jr. homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. CJ Abrams scores.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








