Rays at Yankees
Last play · Jonathan Aranda strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TB 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 6 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cody Bellinger homers (20) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Wells scores. Ben Rice scores. (inning 3) — +38% Yankees
9Tristan Gray grounds into a force out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Josh Lowe scores. José Caballero out at 2nd. Tristan Gray to 1st.5–7
8Anthony Volpe homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.4–7
7Taylor Walls doubles (11) on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Nick Fortes scores.4–6
4Paul Goldschmidt singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Christopher Morel. Austin Wells scores. Ben Rice to 2nd.3–6
4Trent Grisham grounds out, first baseman Yandy Díaz to pitcher Mason Montgomery. Austin Wells to 3rd.3–5
4Anthony Volpe singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Jasson Domínguez scores.3–4
3Cody Bellinger homers (20) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Wells scores. Ben Rice scores.3–3
3Jonathan Aranda homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








