Marlins at Cardinals
Last play · Thomas Saggese strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
MIA 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 0 STL
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Cardinals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Graham Pauley homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Troy Johnston scores. (inning 2) — -24% Marlins
6Xavier Edwards triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Eric Wagaman scores.5–0
6Eric Wagaman doubles (21) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Dane Myers scores.4–0
5Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Kyle Stowers scores.3–0
2Graham Pauley homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Troy Johnston scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








