Rays at Yankees
Last play · Ryan McMahon singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Jasson Domínguez to 3rd.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TB 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 0 NYY
Rays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Lowe homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. José Caballero scores. (inning 9) — -71% Rays
11Ryan McMahon singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Jasson Domínguez to 3rd.4–5
10Cody Bellinger triples (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Trent Grisham scores.4–4
10Jonathan Aranda out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Taylor Walls scores. Brandon Lowe to 3rd. Yandy Díaz to 2nd.4–3
9Anthony Volpe homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.3–3
9Josh Lowe homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. José Caballero scores.3–2
8Giancarlo Stanton singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Oswald Peraza scores. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.1–2
8Trent Grisham homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
3Brandon Lowe doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Taylor Walls scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








