Nationals at Astros
Last play · Drew Millas grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Victor Caratini.
Win probability
Astros100%
WSH 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 4 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Astros favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Mauricio Dubón scores. Zack Short scores. (inning 2) — +26% Astros
6Yainer Diaz homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Zack Short scores. Jose Altuve scores.1–9
6Cooper Hummel homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Mauricio Dubón scores.1–6
2Jose Altuve homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Mauricio Dubón scores. Zack Short scores.1–4
2Daylen Lile out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Chas McCormick. Josh Bell scores.1–1
1Cam Smith out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Jose Altuve scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








