Red Sox at Twins
Last play · Matt Wallner grounds out, first baseman Romy Gonzalez to pitcher Chris Murphy.
Win probability
Twins0%
BOS 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 6 – 1 MIN
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Connor Wong scores. Roman Anthony scores. Jarren Duran to 2nd. (inning 5) — -20% Red Sox
9Masataka Yoshida homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.13–1
9Romy Gonzalez homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. David Hamilton scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.12–1
9Wilyer Abreu singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jarren Duran scores. David Hamilton to 2nd.9–1
6Jarren Duran homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Roman Anthony scores.8–1
5Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jarren Duran scores. Trevor Story scores. Romy Gonzalez to 3rd.6–1
5Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Connor Wong scores. Roman Anthony scores. Jarren Duran to 2nd.4–1
3Abraham Toro out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr. Connor Wong scores.2–1
2Matt Wallner homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








