Marlins at Cardinals
Last play · Thomas Saggese lines out to right fielder Jesús Sánchez.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
MIA 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 0 STL
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Cardinals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Xavier Edwards scores. (inning 3) — -26% Marlins
3Jesús Sánchez homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Xavier Edwards scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








