Rays at Yankees
Last play · Jonny DeLuca strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
TB 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 4 – 7 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Yankees favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Giancarlo Stanton homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Cody Bellinger scores. (inning 1) — +16% Yankees
4Taylor Walls doubles (13) on a fly ball to right fielder Austin Slater. Jonny DeLuca scores.4–7
4Jonny DeLuca singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Josh Lowe scores.3–7
4Junior Caminero out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Christopher Morel scores.2–7
4Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Austin Slater. Brandon Lowe scores. Christopher Morel to 3rd.1–7
3Austin Slater grounds into a force out, third baseman Junior Caminero to second baseman Brandon Lowe. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Jasson Domínguez out at 2nd. Austin Slater to 1st.0–7
2Ben Rice homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan McMahon scores. Anthony Volpe scores.0–6
1Giancarlo Stanton homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Cody Bellinger scores.0–3
1Cody Bellinger singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Paul Goldschmidt scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








