Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Sam Haggerty called out on strikes.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cole Young homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 5) — +16% Mariners
6Cal Raleigh grounds out sharply, third baseman Josh Smith to first baseman Rowdy Tellez.0–6
6Cole Young triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. J.P. Crawford scores.0–5
6J.P. Crawford singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Jorge Polanco scores.0–4
5Cal Raleigh homers (42) on a fly ball to right center field.0–3
5Cole Young homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
4Dominic Canzone singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








