Royals at Blue Jays
Last play · Ty France strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
KC 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 5 – 1 TOR
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Kyle Isbel scores. Jonathan India scores. (inning 3) — -26% Royals
9Addison Barger homers (16) on a line drive to right field. Joey Loperfido scores.9–3
9Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Kyle Isbel scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.9–1
9Adam Frazier homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Randal Grichuk scores.8–1
9Salvador Perez homers (19) on a fly ball to left field.6–1
3Bobby Witt Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Kyle Isbel scores. Jonathan India scores.5–1
2Mike Yastrzemski homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Maikel Garcia scores.2–1
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








