Tigers at Phillies
Last play · Bryson Stott flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
Win probability
Phillies0%
DET 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 0 PHI
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Phillies favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Castellanos homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. J.T. Realmuto scores. (inning 7) — +15% Phillies
8Bryce Harper homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Brandon Marsh scores.7–5
8Javier Báez triples (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Weston Wilson. Zach McKinstry scores. Dillon Dingler scores.7–3
7Nick Castellanos homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. J.T. Realmuto scores.5–3
7J.T. Realmuto doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Bryce Harper scores.5–1
7Gleyber Torres homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.5–0
7Javier Báez homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Dillon Dingler scores.4–0
3Kerry Carpenter homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
3Colt Keith homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








