Yankees at Marlins
Last play · Cody Bellinger grounds out to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
Win probability
Marlins100%
NYY 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 2 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Marlins favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Agustín Ramírez homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 4) — +8% Marlins
4Agustín Ramírez homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
1Agustín Ramírez homers (16) on a line drive to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








