Rangers at Mariners
Last play · J.P. Crawford homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Miles Mastrobuoni scores.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 2 SEA
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.P. Crawford homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. (inning 9) — +55% Mariners
9J.P. Crawford homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Miles Mastrobuoni scores.3–4
5Josh Naylor doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Cole Young scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.3–2
3Marcus Semien doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Josh Smith scores.3–1
3Josh Smith singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Rowdy Tellez scores.2–1
3Rowdy Tellez doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Joc Pederson scores. Fielding error by right fielder Dominic Canzone.1–1
2Cole Young walks. Eugenio Suárez scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd. Dominic Canzone to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








