Twins at Guardians
Last play · Trevor Larnach strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
MIN 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 4 – 4 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Ramírez homers (22) on a fly ball to right field. Daniel Schneemann scores. (inning 5) — +29% Guardians
8Bo Naylor doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. José Ramírez scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd.4–5
5José Ramírez homers (22) on a fly ball to right field. Daniel Schneemann scores.4–4
5Royce Lewis doubles (11) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Trevor Larnach scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd.4–2
5Trevor Larnach singles on a line drive to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Alan Roden scores.3–2
4Matt Wallner homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Kody Clemens scores.2–2
3Daniel Schneemann homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
2CJ Kayfus grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens. Bo Naylor scores. Gabriel Arias to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








