Brewers at Nationals
Last play · Luis García Jr. grounds out, first baseman Andrew Vaughn to pitcher Nick Mears.
Win probability
Nationals0%
MIL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 5 – 2 WSH
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
Nationals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Sal Frelick scores. William Contreras to 2nd. (inning 1) — -12% Brewers
9Isaac Collins doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Robert Hassell III, deflected by right fielder Daylen Lile. Christian Yelich scores.8–2
8Brandon Lockridge out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Daylen Lile. Brice Turang scores. Anthony Seigler to 3rd.7–2
8Brice Turang doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Robert Hassell III. Blake Perkins scores.6–2
3Robert Hassell III homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Riley Adams scores.5–2
3Christian Yelich homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.5–0
2William Contreras grounds into a double play, second baseman Luis García Jr. to shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick out at 2nd. William Contreras out at 1st.4–0
1Blake Perkins singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Daylen Lile. Christian Yelich scores. Isaac Collins to 2nd.3–0
1Isaac Collins singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








