Orioles at Cubs
Last play · Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
BAL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
Cubs favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gunnar Henderson homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Jackson Holliday scores. Jordan Westburg scores. (inning 8) — -61% Orioles
8Gunnar Henderson homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Jackson Holliday scores. Jordan Westburg scores.4–3
8Jordan Westburg singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Colton Cowser scores. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.1–3
4Nico Hoerner singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jeremiah Jackson. Willi Castro scores.0–3
2Reese McGuire out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Colton Cowser. Willi Castro scores.0–2
2Nico Hoerner hits a ground-rule double (19) on a line drive to left field. Ian Happ scores. Willi Castro to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








