Brewers at Nationals
Last play · Brady House grounds into a double play, shortstop Joey Ortiz to second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Andruw Monasterio. Jacob Young out at 2nd. Brady House out at 1st.
Win probability
Nationals0%
MIL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 3 – 1 WSH
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Nationals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brice Turang homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Brandon Lockridge scores. (inning 2) — -18% Brewers
9Drew Millas doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Riley Adams scores. Daylen Lile scores. Robert Hassell III to 3rd.14–3
8Joey Ortiz doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Christian Yelich scores. Isaac Collins scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.14–1
7Brice Turang homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Joey Ortiz scores.12–1
7Joey Ortiz singles on a line drive to right fielder Robert Hassell III. Caleb Durbin scores. Brandon Lockridge scores.10–1
7Brandon Lockridge singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Isaac Collins scores. Blake Perkins scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.8–1
7Caleb Durbin hit by pitch. Christian Yelich scores. Isaac Collins to 3rd. Blake Perkins to 2nd.6–1
6Joey Ortiz walks.5–1
6Brandon Lockridge out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Daylen Lile. Blake Perkins scores.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








