Yankees at Marlins
Last play · Anthony Volpe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins100%
NYY 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 6 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Marlins favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Troy Johnston doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Heriberto Hernández scores. Graham Pauley to 3rd. (inning 2) — +15% Marlins
7Jakob Marsee triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Otto Lopez scores.3–7
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Giancarlo Stanton scores.3–6
4Kyle Stowers homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field. Graham Pauley scores. Xavier Edwards scores.1–6
2Kyle Stowers out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Troy Johnston scores.1–3
2Xavier Edwards singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Graham Pauley scores. Troy Johnston to 3rd.1–2
2Troy Johnston doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Heriberto Hernández scores. Graham Pauley to 3rd.1–1
1Trent Grisham homers (20) on a line drive to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








