Tigers at Phillies
Last play · Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
DET 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 1 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Phillies favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott pops out to second baseman Gleyber Torres. (inning 8) — +12% Phillies
8Kyle Schwarber homers (38) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
2Max Kepler grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Nick Castellanos scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








