Orioles at Cubs
Last play · Justin Turner homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Dansby Swanson scores.
Win probability
Cubs100%
BAL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 2 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Cubs favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Noda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Colton Cowser scores. (inning 9) — -38% Orioles
9Justin Turner homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Dansby Swanson scores.3–5
9Ryan Noda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Colton Cowser scores.3–3
6Dansby Swanson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jordyn Adams. Willi Castro scores. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.2–3
4Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker, deflected by first baseman Michael Busch. Adley Rutschman scores.2–2
3Gunnar Henderson grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Alex Jackson scores. Jackson Holliday out at 2nd. Gunnar Henderson to 1st.1–2
1Ian Happ doubles (19) on a fly ball to right fielder Jeremiah Jackson. Seiya Suzuki scores. Carson Kelly out at home on the throw, right fielder Jeremiah Jackson to second baseman Jackson Holliday to catcher Alex Jackson.0–2
1Seiya Suzuki singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jeremiah Jackson. Michael Busch scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








