Giants at Mets
Last play · Tyrone Taylor pops out to catcher Patrick Bailey in foul territory.
Win probability
Mets0%
SF 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 7 – 2 NYM
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Mets favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (20) on a fly ball to right field. Patrick Bailey scores. Heliot Ramos scores. (inning 3) — -35% Giants
9Francisco Alvarez singles on a line drive to right fielder Grant McCray. Mark Vientos scores. Cedric Mullins scores.12–4
9Casey Schmitt homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Chapman scores. Dominic Smith scores.12–2
9Dominic Smith singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Heliot Ramos scores. Rafael Devers scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd.9–2
5Francisco Alvarez doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Grant McCray. Jeff McNeil scores. Throwing error by right fielder Grant McCray.7–2
4Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Patrick Bailey scores. Heliot Ramos to 2nd.7–1
4Heliot Ramos singles on a ground ball to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Patrick Bailey to 3rd.6–1
4Patrick Bailey reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Pete Alonso. Casey Schmitt scores. Jung Hoo Lee to 2nd.5–1
3Rafael Devers homers (20) on a fly ball to right field. Patrick Bailey scores. Heliot Ramos scores.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








