Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Wyatt Langford strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 5 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Cal Raleigh scores. (inning 3) — +25% Mariners
6Adolis García homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.4–5
4J.P. Crawford homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Dominic Canzone scores.3–5
4Rowdy Tellez doubles (9) on a fly ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Adolis García scores.3–3
3Julio Rodríguez homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Cal Raleigh scores.2–3
3Corey Seager homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Josh Smith scores.2–1
2Jorge Polanco homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








