Brewers at Braves
Last play · Eli White grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
Win probability
Braves0%
MIL 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 3 – 1 ATL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +115
Braves favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Collins homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich scores. (inning 4) — -38% Brewers
4Isaac Collins homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. William Contreras scores. Christian Yelich scores.3–1
1Jurickson Profar homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








