Royals at Red Sox
Last play · Salvador Perez grounds out, third baseman Abraham Toro to first baseman Romy Gonzalez.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
KC 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 7 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Red Sox favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rob Refsnyder singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Romy Gonzalez scores. Alex Bregman scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd. (inning 1) — +17% Red Sox
8Nick Loftin doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Adam Frazier scores.5–8
8Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Mike Yastrzemski scores.4–8
8Maikel Garcia homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.3–8
8Vinnie Pasquantino homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.2–8
7Wilyer Abreu singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Romy Gonzalez scores. Alex Bregman to 2nd.1–8
4Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to left fielder John Rave. Abraham Toro scores.1–7
4Adam Frazier out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Salvador Perez scores.1–6
3Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Trevor Story scores.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








