Orioles at Phillies
Last play · Jeremiah Jackson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
BAL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 3 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Phillies favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Harrison Bader homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. J.T. Realmuto scores. Nick Castellanos scores. (inning 6) — +36% Phillies
8Weston Wilson homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.3–13
8Edmundo Sosa homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.3–12
6Kyle Schwarber hits a grand slam (40) to right center field. Edmundo Sosa scores. Weston Wilson scores. Trea Turner scores.3–11
6Weston Wilson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. Bryson Stott scores. Edmundo Sosa to 2nd.3–7
6Harrison Bader homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. J.T. Realmuto scores. Nick Castellanos scores.3–6
3Kyle Schwarber homers (39) on a fly ball to right field. Edmundo Sosa scores.3–3
3Jordan Westburg homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
2Tyler O'Neill homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Adley Rutschman scores.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








