Astros at Marlins
Last play · Eric Wagaman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
HOU 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 5 – 0 MIA
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Marlins favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Jeremy Peña scores. (inning 4) — -14% Astros
8Cam Smith singles on a line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Mauricio Dubón scores.8–2
8Mauricio Dubón doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Victor Caratini scores.7–2
7Derek Hill homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.6–2
7Javier Sanoja homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.6–1
7Jeremy Peña doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Cam Smith scores.6–0
4Yainer Diaz doubles (16) on a ground ball to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Christian Walker scores. Victor Caratini scores.5–0
4Christian Walker grounds into a force out, first baseman Troy Johnston to shortstop Otto Lopez. Jose Altuve scores. Carlos Correa out at 2nd. Christian Walker to 1st.3–0
4Carlos Correa singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








