Twins at Tigers
Last play · Alan Roden called out on strikes.
Win probability
Tigers100%
MIN 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 2 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Tigers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Gleyber Torres scores. (inning 6) — +31% Tigers
7Dillon Dingler homers (10) on a line drive to left field.3–6
6Kerry Carpenter homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Gleyber Torres scores.3–5
6Gleyber Torres grounds into a force out, first baseman Kody Clemens to second baseman Edouard Julien. Javier Báez scores. Colt Keith out at 2nd. Gleyber Torres to 1st.3–3
6Matt Wallner homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.3–2
5Wenceel Pérez homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Spencer Torkelson scores.2–2
5Trevor Larnach homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
1Ryan Jeffers homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








