Royals at Red Sox
Last play · Adam Frazier grounds out, second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Abraham Toro.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
KC 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 1 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
Red Sox favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story singles on a fly ball to center fielder John Rave. Alex Bregman scores. Wilyer Abreu scores. (inning 6) — +31% Red Sox
7Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to center fielder John Rave. Alex Bregman scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd.2–6
7Wilyer Abreu singles on a fly ball to right fielder Randal Grichuk. David Hamilton scores. Jarren Duran scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.2–5
7Randal Grichuk doubles (16) on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela, deflected by left fielder Jarren Duran. Maikel Garcia scores.2–3
6Trevor Story singles on a fly ball to center fielder John Rave. Alex Bregman scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.1–3
4Maikel Garcia doubles (29) on a ground ball to left fielder Masataka Yoshida. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–1
3Jarren Duran doubles (31) on a fly ball to left fielder Nick Loftin. Romy Gonzalez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








