Guardians at Mets
Last play · Francisco Alvarez grounds out, pitcher Cade Smith to first baseman CJ Kayfus.
Win probability
Mets0%
CLE 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 2 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -165
Mets favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. CJ Kayfus scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd. Steven Kwan to 2nd. (inning 7) — -19% Guardians
7Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. CJ Kayfus scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd. Steven Kwan to 2nd.3–2
4Gabriel Arias singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. José Ramírez scores. Bo Naylor to 2nd.2–2
4Kyle Manzardo singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 2nd.1–2
2Tyrone Taylor singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Mark Vientos scores. Francisco Alvarez to 2nd.0–2
1Pete Alonso out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Angel Martínez. Francisco Lindor scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








