Astros at Marlins
Last play · Javier Sanoja grounds out, third baseman Carlos Correa to first baseman Christian Walker.
Win probability
Marlins0%
HOU 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 7 – 2 MIA
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Marlins favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Jesús Sánchez scores. (inning 1) — -22% Astros
7Eric Wagaman homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.7–3
5Jakob Marsee homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.7–2
5Yainer Diaz homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Correa scores. Christian Walker scores.7–1
4Jeremy Peña triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Heriberto Hernández. Mauricio Dubón scores. Ramón Urías scores.4–1
2Jakob Marsee singles on a line drive to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Heriberto Hernández scores. Eric Wagaman to 2nd.2–1
1Jose Altuve homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Jesús Sánchez scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








