Reds at Cubs
Last play · Nico Hoerner grounds out, first baseman Spencer Steer to pitcher Tony Santillan.
Win probability
Cubs0%
CIN 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 1 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Cubs favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Steer homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Austin Hays scores. Miguel Andujar scores. (inning 7) — -41% Reds
7Santiago Espinal out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ian Happ. Noelvi Marte scores.5–1
7Spencer Steer homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Austin Hays scores. Miguel Andujar scores.4–1
5Matt Shaw homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
5Spencer Steer singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Miguel Andujar scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








