Twins at Tigers
Last play · Dillon Dingler grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Luke Keaschall. Spencer Torkelson out at 2nd.
Win probability
Tigers0%
MIN 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 6 – 4 DET
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Tigers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter homers (20) on a line drive to right field. Colt Keith scores. (inning 3) — +25% Tigers
7Mickey Gasper grounds out softly to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Royce Lewis scores. Brooks Lee to 3rd. Austin Martin to 2nd.9–4
6Alan Roden homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.8–4
6Austin Martin homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.7–4
5Luke Keaschall hits a ground-rule double (5) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Ryan Jeffers scores.6–4
5Ryan Jeffers doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Matt Wallner scores.5–4
4Brooks Lee homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.4–4
3Kerry Carpenter homers (20) on a line drive to right field. Colt Keith scores.3–4
3Zach McKinstry homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








