Royals at Red Sox
Last play · Masataka Yoshida grounds out softly, pitcher Carlos Estévez to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
KC 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 2 BOS
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -150
Red Sox favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Isbel singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Jonathan India scores. John Rave scores. (inning 4) — -26% Royals
8Trevor Story singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Connor Wong scores.7–3
8Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Tyler Tolbert scores.7–2
7Jonathan India homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Salvador Perez scores. Adam Frazier scores.6–2
4Kyle Isbel singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Jonathan India scores. John Rave scores.3–2
3Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Roman Anthony. Mike Yastrzemski scores.1–2
1Romy Gonzalez doubles (18) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Trevor Story scores. Jarren Duran scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








