Blue Jays at Rockies
Last play · Tyler Freeman grounds out, pitcher Tommy Nance to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Win probability
Rockies0%
TOR 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 3 – 2 COL
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-270 / +220
Rockies favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Alejandro Kirk scores. (inning 4) — -26% Blue Jays
9Daulton Varsho doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Bo Bichette scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.10–4
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (25) on a line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Nathan Lukes scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd.8–4
6Warming Bernabel singles on a fly ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Jordan Beck scores. Mickey Moniak to 3rd.7–4
6Mickey Moniak singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Hunter Goodman scores. Jordan Beck to 3rd. Mickey Moniak to 2nd. Fielding error by center fielder Daulton Varsho.7–3
6Daulton Varsho homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Alejandro Kirk scores.7–2
6Addison Barger homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.5–2
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.4–2
4Daulton Varsho homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Alejandro Kirk scores.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








